9 Best Fundamental Analysis Courses In 2020 • Benzinga

List of 70+ Udemy and Some Best Discounted

List of 70 plus Udemy and Some Best Discounted ( Code Valid from few hours to upto 2 days )
  1. [English] 0h 49m Media Training -Radio: How to Speak Effectively on the Radio https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-speak-on-radio/?couponCode=455D2FA6B100BA01CD9D 2 Days left at this price!
  2. [English] 1h 36m Charisma: You Can Develop Charisma https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-develop-charisma/?couponCode=6BDAE9933FB569BED8C1 2 Days left at this price!
  3. [English] 0h 53m Personal Communication-Introduce Yourself With Confidence https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-introduce-yourself/?couponCode=C1DA326C0525CE2CE591 2 Days left at this price!
  4. [English] 29h 12m Leadership: You Can Speak Like a Leader https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-speak-like-a-leade?couponCode=64F401DDD08142A231B9 2 Days left at this price!
  5. [English] 1h 34m Public Speaking Skills: Give a Great Informational Speech https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-give-an-informational-speech/?couponCode=A2DBDF7C2F45ACDD316D 2 Days left at this price!
  6. [English] 0h 59m Sales Skills Training: Free Sales Generation Seminars https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-deliver-a-free-sales-generation-semina?couponCode=47D73D11D2A7EC7D6FBC 2 Days left at this price!
  7. [English] 0h 53m Public Relations: Speak Effectively at Press Conferences https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-speak-at-a-press-conference/?couponCode=1EEA0257E6A81D7A3FBA 2 Days left at this price!
  8. [English] 1h 56m Complete Management Coaching Course - Executive Coaching https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-management-coaching-course-executive-coaching/?couponCode=D8B3ADC8240A82506319 2 Days left at this price!
  9. [English] 5h 46m Become a Successful Online Teacher - Teach Online Students https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-udemy-bestsellers-online-course-creation-unofficial/?couponCode=3CD9C87E21C76A849072 2 Days left at this price!
  10. [Turkish] 5h 5m Oğuz Hoca'yla Sorunsuz Matematik-3 (TYT, KPSS, DGS, ALES) https://www.udemy.com/course/oguz-hocayla-sorunsuz-matematik-3-tyt-kpss-dgs-ales/?couponCode=OGUZHOCAPROBLEMLER 1 Day left at this price!
  11. [English] 2h 49m Learn HTML- Beginner to Advanced https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-html-beginner-to-advanced/?couponCode=462B17B62209CD079DB1 2 Days left at this price!
  12. [English] 1h 18m How to Earn from Photography: Absolute Beginners Guide https://www.udemy.com/course/earn-from-photography-complete-guideline/?couponCode=EARNPOCT2020F2 2 Days left at this price!
  13. [English] 6h 3m The Complete Android Ethical Hacking Practical Course C|AEHP https://freebiesglobal.com/the-complete-android-ethical-hacking-practical-course-caehp-5 2 Days left at this price!
  14. [English] 8h 49m TCP/IP Socket Programming HandsOn-Windows & Linux in C & C++ https://www.udemy.com/course/tcpip-socket-programming-handson-windows-linux-in-c-c/?couponCode=SOCKET_PROG20 2 Days left at this price!
  15. [English] 20h 20m Ultimate Content Writing Masterclass: 30 Courses in 1 https://www.udemy.com/course/ultimate-content-writing-masterclass-30-courses-in-1/?couponCode=WRITING28 2 Days left at this price!
  16. [English] 7h 53m Complete Law of Attraction MasterClass - Manifest Your Goals https://www.udemy.com/course/lawofattractionmasterclass/?couponCode=LAWOFATTRACTION 2 Days left at this price!
  17. [English] 3h 23m Microsoft Power BI: Latest 2020 Beginner to Expert Modules https://www.udemy.com/course/microsoft-power-bi-latest-2020-beginner-to-expert-modules/?couponCode=POWER29 2 Days left at this price!
  18. [English] 2h 0m The Ultimate Guide to Scrum Fundamentals- 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/scrum-genman/?couponCode=GETSCRUM 2 Days left at this price!
  19. [Arabic] 6h 44m التسعير السيكولوجي https://www.udemy.com/course/pricing-psychology/?couponCode=ECCC0837587E3536A6E2 2 Days left at this price!
  20. [English] 0h 46m Mindfulness For Depression, Anxiety, PTSD, Stress Sampler https://www.udemy.com/course/mindfulness-for-depression-anxiety-ptsd-stress-sample?couponCode=7B330FB6CB29EAF8D7EC 2 Days left at this price!
  21. [Spanish] 2h 50m [2020] COBIT version 5 Fundamentos https://www.udemy.com/course/cobit-5-fundamentos/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  22. [Spanish] 1h 10m [2020] Service Desk Fundamentos https://www.udemy.com/course/service-desk-lider-certificacion/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  23. [Spanish] 1h 2m Mejores Prácticas de Trabajo Remoto-Remote Worker CertiProf https://www.udemy.com/course/remote-worker-trabajo-remoto/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  24. [English] 1h 18m Make Money From Home As a Transcriptionist: 10 Opportunities https://www.udemy.com/course/work-home-transcription-jobs/?couponCode=6A392F6ABDB69E35C569 2 Days left at this price!
  25. [English] 10h 6m CATIA V5 3D Design & Modeling Course for Beginner https://www.udemy.com/course/catia-v5-3d-design-modeling-course-for-beginne?couponCode=OCTEND 17 hrs left at this price!
  26. [English] 3h 13m Affinity Publisher Guide - Affinity Publisher for Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/affinity-publisher-guide/?couponCode=60C5AAC8301103E15A98 2 Days left at this price!
  27. [Spanish] 8h 5m Aprende cálculo integral desde cero https://www.udemy.com/course/aprende-calculo-integral-desde-cero/?couponCode=49F116345F722309DC08 2 Days left at this price!
  28. [English] 2h 31m AWS Business Essentials - The Business Value of Amazon AWS https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-business-essentials/?couponCode=AWSBUSINESS 1 Day left at this price!
  29. [English] 3h 13m PowerPoint Essentials for Business Presentations https://www.udemy.com/course/powerpoint-essentials-for-business-presentations/?couponCode=OCT2020 1 Day left at this price!
  30. [English] 56h 30m Corporate Finance https://www.udemy.com/course/corporate-finance/?couponCode=B2A8FAB800A27473FAAC 13 hrs left at this price!
  31. [English] 10h 44m QuickBooks Desktop Job Costing https://www.udemy.com/course/quickbooks-desktop-job-costing/?couponCode=8339216EE9B309F3C0A3 13 hrs left at this price!
  32. [English] 1h 24m Brain-friendly reading - Understand 300 books per year https://www.udemy.com/course/brain-friendly-reading-understand-300-books-per-yea?couponCode=STARTREADING 2 Days left at this price!
  33. [English] 2h 29m Shopify Guide: Start your own clothing brand with Shopify https://www.udemy.com/course/start-your-own-clothing-brand-with-shopify/?couponCode=F4DA690ABE790611EEFF 2 Days left at this price!
  34. [English] 2h 33m Shopify guide: The complete shopify store creation course https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-shopify-store-creation-course/?couponCode=4B1F31E169BB9AF277E8 2 Days left at this price!
  35. [English] 1h 12m Learn Google Docs https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-google-docs/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  36. [English] 2h 1m Learn Advanced HTML5 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-html-5-course-from-scratch/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  37. [English] 0h 48m Learn Google Forms https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-google-forms/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  38. [English] 1h 53m Learn Advanced CSS3 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-css-course/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  39. [English] 2h 15m Learn Advanced JavaScript https://www.udemy.com/course/the-learn-javascript-course/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  40. [English] 0h 32m Learn Microsoft PowerApps https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-microsoft-powerapps-/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  41. [English] 0h 44m Learn Trello https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-basic-trello/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  42. [English] 1h 50m Learn Advanced jQuery https://www.udemy.com/course/the-learn-jquery-course/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  43. [English] 0h 47m Gmail https://www.udemy.com/course/gmail-productivity/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  44. [Spanish] 1h 10m Física: Estática - Fuerzas - Equilibrio - Ejercicios https://www.udemy.com/course/fisicaestatica/?couponCode=40DA54990CA840FC16CB 1 Day left at this price!
  45. [English] 3h 33m PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds (PUBG) For Beginner Gamers https://www.udemy.com/course/playerunknowns-battlegrounds-pubg/?couponCode=PUBGBGEXPOCT312020 2 Days left at this price!
  46. [English] 1h 29m Fast Video Ranking No Matter Your Niche With XRanker360 SEO https://www.udemy.com/course/fast-video-ranking-seo/?couponCode=FVRNMEXPOCT312020 2 Days left at this price!
  47. [Spanish] 3h 27m [2020] Scrum Master Certificación Mundial https://www.udemy.com/course/scrum-master-espanol/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  48. [Spanish] 1h 46m Agile Coach Introducción al Rol https://www.udemy.com/course/agile-coach/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  49. [English] 4h 2m Intuition Development for Beginners | Energy Healing & Tarot https://www.udemy.com/course/intuition-energy-healing/?couponCode=INTUITIONFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  50. [English] 2h 33m Vegan Cooking Class Vegan Thai Food Easy Vegan Recipes https://www.udemy.com/course/vegan-cooking-class-vegan-thai-food-easy-vegan-recipes/?couponCode=VEGANTHAI28102020 1 Day left at this price!
  51. [English] 0h 36m Learn Basics of Adobe Photoshop CC 2020 for Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-basics-of-adobe-photoshop-cc-for-beginners/?couponCode=2618FE9D22523F56914C 20 hrs left at this price!
  52. [English] 2h 45m Master Spring & Angular Material with a full web application https://www.udemy.com/course/master-spring-angular-material-with-a-full-web-application/?couponCode=A0BECB22BC8C8D9C98B6 1 Day left at this price!
  53. [English] 1h 46m Portrait Photography for Absolute Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/mastering-portrait-photography/?couponCode=PORTRAITOCT2020F3 1 Day left at this price!
  54. [English] 2h 17m Complete Guide to InVideo and InVideo Video Creation https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-guide-to-invideo-and-invideo-video-creation/?couponCode=89061B53CBC29FF9F2EC 1 Day left at this price!
  55. [English] 4h 51m New Way to Make Money at No Budget! Drop Servicing WordPress https://www.udemy.com/course/create-drop-servicing-website-with-wordpress/?couponCode=FREEPROMOTION 1 Day left at this price!
  56. [English] 5h 5m Advance Maths: Part III: Statistics & Probability https://www.udemy.com/course/advanced-mathematics-part-iii-statistics-probability/?couponCode=SAM2612 15 hrs left at this price!
  57. [English] 2h 29m Advance Maths: Part II: Fourier Transform https://www.udemy.com/course/advance-course-in-mathematics-part-ii/?couponCode=SIMABHI2612 15 hrs left at this price!
  58. [English] 4h 1m Advance Maths: Part I: Linear Differential Equations https://www.udemy.com/course/advanced-course-in-mathematics-part-i/?couponCode=SEEMABHI2612 14 hrs left at this price!
  59. [English] 53h 42m Managerial Accounting / Cost Accounting https://www.udemy.com/course/managerial-accounting-cost-accounting/?couponCode=74CEB0E3645D8ED18DEA 12 hrs left at this price!
  60. [English] 118h 56m Accounting–Financial Accounting Total-Beginners to Advanced https://www.udemy.com/course/financial-accounting-accounting-cycle/?couponCode=FBA9292E89D59C671FB3 12 hrs left at this price!
  61. [English] 100h 13m QuickBooks Online 2020 Vs. QuickBooks Desktop 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/quickbooks-online-vs-quickbooks-desktop/?couponCode=8548658665DC1E3B1CB9 12 hrs left at this price!
  62. [English] 5h 32m Python Demonstrations For Practice Course https://freebiesglobal.com/python-demonstrations-for-practice-course-4 1 Day left at this price!
  63. [English] 6h 23m Learning Analytics Through R https://www.udemy.com/course/learning-analytics/?couponCode=LEARNING28 1 Day left at this price!
  64. [English] 9h 40m Tableau Training: Master Tableau For Data Science https://www.udemy.com/course/tableau-training-master-tableau-for-data-science/?couponCode=TABLEAU28 1 Day left at this price!
  65. [English] 1h 36m Computer Basics 2020:Essential Computer Skills And Knowledge https://www.udemy.com/course/computer-basics-2020-basic-computer-skills-and-fundamentals/?couponCode=DISCOUNT-100 1 Day left at this price!
  66. [English] 49h 1m The Complete 2020 PHP Full Stack Web Developer Bootcamp https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-php-full-stack-web-developer-bootcamp/?couponCode=FREEBEEOCT 1 Day left at this price!
  67. [English] 3h 50m Substance painter 2020 - The complete 3D Texturing course https://www.udemy.com/course/substance-painter-2020-the-complete-3d-texturing-course/?couponCode=FREETIME 1 Day left at this price!
  68. [Spanish] 4h 17m Excel para negocios y empresas | ACTUALIZADO 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/excelparanegocios/?couponCode=13E45874992DC0C540CD 1 Day left at this price!
  69. [English] 3h 49m Introduction to Forex- learn to trade forex by yourself https://www.udemy.com/course/introduction-to-forex-learn-to-trade-forex-by-yourself/?couponCode=1F0D68F4944923897966 1 Day left at this price!
  70. [English] 2h 15m Business Networking for Success and Company Growth: Part Two https://www.udemy.com/course/business-networking-for-success-2/?couponCode=BNSCGEXPOCT302020 1 Day left at this price!
  71. [English] 2h 13m Business Networking for Success and Company Growth: Part One https://www.udemy.com/course/business-networking-1/?couponCode=BNSCPOEXPOCT302020 1 Day left at this price!
  72. [English] 3h 50m Substance painter 2020 - The complete 3D Texturing course https://www.udemy.com/course/substance-painter-2020-the-complete-3d-texturing-course/?couponCode=FREETIME 1 Day left at this price!
  73. [English] 1h 27m Business Networking for Success and Company Growth: Part 3 https://www.udemy.com/course/business-networking-for-success-3/?couponCode=BNSCEXPOCT302020 1 Day left at this price!
  74. [English] 1h 51m Lean Tools and Techniques for Flow and Pull https://www.udemy.com/course/lean-tools-and-techniques-for-flow-and-pull/?couponCode=B035585AB9A21B8432CE 12 hrs left at this price!
Popular courses form $9.99
  1. [English] 6h 20m Lean for Business Organizations https://www.udemy.com/course/lean-for-business-organizations/?couponCode=C5518B068F924319C5FB 12 hrs left at this price!
  2. [English] 7h 53m Introduction to Cloud Computing on Amazon AWS for Beginners $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/introduction-to-cloud-computing-on-amazon-aws-for-beginners/?couponCode=AWSOCT 2 Days left at this price!
  3. [English] [390 questions] AWS Certified Cloud Practitioner 500 Practice Exam Questions $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-certified-cloud-practitioner-practice-exams-c/?couponCode=AWSOCT 2 Days left at this price!
  4. [English] 34h 0m The Complete Train the Trainer Bootcamp - Beginners-Advanced $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-train-the-trainer-bootcamp-beginners-advanced/?couponCode=THANKS1 1 Day left at this price!
  5. [English] 26h 49m Leading Effective Meetings - You Can Lead Effective Meetings $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/leading-effective-meetings-you-can-lead-effective-meetings/?couponCode=THANKS2 1 Day left at this price!
  6. [English] 44h 40m SEO TRAINING 2021: Complete SEO Course + WordPress SEO Yoast $10.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/online-seo-training/?couponCode=2OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  7. [English] 8h 9m Facebook Dynamic Ads (Facebook Dynamic Retargeting) MASTERY $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-dynamic-ads/?couponCode=OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  8. [English] 10h 39m Lead Generation MASTERY with Facebook Lead & Messenger Ads $11.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-lead-ads-course/?couponCode=OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  9. [English] 56h 8m The Complete Digital Marketing Course for Local Businesses $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/local-digital-marketing/?couponCode=2OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  10. [English] 29h 1m BEST of Facebook Ads: Facebook Ads 2021 ULTIMATE PRO Edition $13.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-ads-2021/?couponCode=OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  11. [English] 39h 52m BEST of SEO: #1 SEO Training & Content Marketing Course 2021 $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/seo-training-2021/?couponCode=2OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  12. [English] [390 questions] AWS Certified Developer Associate Practice Exam Questions $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-developer-associate-practice-exams/?couponCode=AWSOCT 18 hrs left at this price!
  13. [English] 29h 21m AWS Certified Developer Associate Exam Training 2020 [NEW] $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-certified-developer-associate-exam-training/?couponCode=AWSOCT 18 hrs left at this price!
  14. [English] 10h 0m Business Analysis Certification Program – Exam Questions https://www.udemy.com/course/business-analysis-certification-program-exam-questions/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  15. [English] 14h 45m Risk Management for Project Professionals (PMBOK6 Updated) https://www.udemy.com/course/risk-management-for-project-professionals/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  16. [English] 16h 39m Business Analysis Certification Program – The Concepts $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/business-analysis-certification-program-the-concepts/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  17. [English] 21h 6m The Agile Certified Practitioner Training Program (PMI-ACP) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-agile-certified-practitioner-training-program-pmi-acp/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 2 Days left at this price!
  18. [English] 31h 16m The Agile Methodology for Project Risk Managers $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-agile-methodology-for-project-risk-managers/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  19. [English] 37h 7m Risk Management for Business Analysts (PMI-RMP/IIBA-ECBA) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/risk-management-for-business-analysts-pmi-rmpiiba-ecba/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  20. [English] 42h 20m Project Management Professional Certification Program (PMP) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/project-management-professional-certification-program-pmp/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 2 Days left at this price!
Via Digital Cloud
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  2. 25. $19.49 [Code: AWSPROMO ] AWS Cloud Practitioner Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud https://learn.digitalcloud.training/aws-certified-cloud-practitioner-ultimate-exam-training?add-to-cart=21372&quantity=1&is_buy_now=1
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submitted by ViralMedia007 to FREECoursesEveryday [link] [comments]

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submitted by ViralMedia007 to FREECoursesEveryday [link] [comments]

Trading economic news

The majority of this sub is focused on technical analysis. I regularly ridicule such "tea leaf readers" and advocate for trading based on fundamentals and economic news instead, so I figured I should take the time to write up something on how exactly you can trade economic news releases.
This post is long as balls so I won't be upset if you get bored and go back to your drooping dick patterns or whatever.

How economic news is released

First, it helps to know how economic news is compiled and released. Let's take Initial Jobless Claims, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits around the United States from Sunday through Saturday. Initial in this context means the first claim for benefits made by an individual during a particular stretch of unemployment. The Initial Jobless Claims figure appears in the Department of Labor's Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report, which compiles information from all of the per-state departments that report to the DOL during the week. A typical number is between 100k and 250k and it can vary quite significantly week-to-week.
The Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report contains data that lags 5 days behind. For example, the Report issued on Thursday March 26th 2020 contained data about the week ending on Saturday March 21st 2020.
In the days leading up to the Report, financial companies will survey economists and run complicated mathematical models to forecast the upcoming Initial Jobless Claims figure. The results of surveyed experts is called the "consensus"; specific companies, experts, and websites will also provide their own forecasts. Different companies will release different consensuses. Usually they are pretty close (within 2-3k), but for last week's record-high Initial Jobless Claims the reported consensuses varied by up to 1M! In other words, there was essentially no consensus.
The Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is released each Thursday morning at exactly 8:30 AM ET. (On Thanksgiving the Report is released on Wednesday instead.) Media representatives gather at the Frances Perkins Building in Washington DC and are admitted to the "lockup" at 8:00 AM ET. In order to be admitted to the lockup you have to be a credentialed member of a media organization that has signed the DOL lockup agreement. The lockup room is small so there is a limited number of spots.
No phones are allowed. Reporters bring their laptops and connect to a local network; there is a master switch on the wall that prevents/enables Internet connectivity on this network. Once the doors are closed the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is distributed, with a heading that announces it is "embargoed" (not to be released) prior to 8:30 AM. Reporters type up their analyses of the report, including extracting key figures like Initial Jobless Claims. They load their write-ups into their companies' software, which prepares to send it out as soon as Internet is enabled. At 8:30 AM the DOL representative in the room flips the wall switch and all of the laptops are connected to the Internet, releasing their write-ups to their companies and on to their companies' partners.
Many of those media companies have externally accessible APIs for distributing news. Media aggregators and squawk services (like RanSquawk and TradeTheNews) subscribe to all of these different APIs and then redistribute the key economic figures from the Report to their own subscribers within one second after Internet is enabled in the DOL lockup.
Some squawk services are text-based while others are audio-based. FinancialJuice.com provides a free audio squawk service; internally they have a paid subscription to a professional squawk service and they simply read out the latest headlines to their own listeners, subsidized by ads on the site. I've been using it for 4 months now and have been pretty happy. It usually lags behind the official release times by 1-2 seconds and occasionally they verbally flub the numbers or stutter and have to repeat, but you can't beat the price!
Important - I’m not affiliated with FinancialJuice and I’m not advocating that you use them over any other squawk. If you use them and they misspeak a number and you lose all your money don’t blame me. If anybody has any other free alternatives please share them!

How the news affects forex markets

Institutional forex traders subscribe to these squawk services and use custom software to consume the emerging data programmatically and then automatically initiate trades based on the perceived change to the fundamentals that the figures represent.
It's important to note that every institution will have "priced in" their own forecasted figures well in advance of an actual news release. Forecasts and consensuses all come out at different times in the days leading up to a news release, so by the time the news drops everybody is really only looking for an unexpected result. You can't really know what any given institution expects the value to be, but unless someone has inside information you can pretty much assume that the market has collectively priced in the experts' consensus. When the news comes out, institutions will trade based on the difference between the actual and their forecast.
Sometimes the news reflects a real change to the fundamentals with an economic effect that will change the demand for a currency, like an interest rate decision. However, in the case of the Initial Jobless Claims figure, which is a backwards-looking metric, trading is really just self-fulfilling speculation that market participants will buy dollars when unemployment is low and sell dollars when unemployment is high. Generally speaking, news that reflects a real economic shift has a bigger effect than news that only matters to speculators.
Massive and extremely fast news-based trades happen within tenths of a second on the ECNs on which institutional traders are participants. Over the next few seconds the resulting price changes trickle down to retail traders. Some economic news, like Non Farm Payroll Employment, has an effect that can last minutes to hours as "slow money" follows behind on the trend created by the "fast money". Other news, like Initial Jobless Claims, has a short impact that trails off within a couple minutes and is subsequently dwarfed by the usual pseudorandom movements in the market.
The bigger the difference between actual and consensus, the bigger the effect on any given currency pair. Since economic news releases generally relate to a single currency, the biggest and most easily predicted effects are seen on pairs where one currency is directly effected and the other is not affected at all. Personally I trade USD/JPY because the time difference between the US and Japan ensures that no news will be coming out of Japan at the same time that economic news is being released in the US.
Before deciding to trade any particular news release you should measure the historical correlation between the release (specifically, the difference between actual and consensus) and the resulting short-term change in the currency pair. Historical data for various news releases (along with historical consensus data) is readily available. You can pay to get it exported into Excel or whatever, or you can scroll through it for free on websites like TradingEconomics.com.
Let's look at two examples: Initial Jobless Claims and Non Farm Payroll Employment (NFP). I collected historical consensuses and actuals for these releases from January 2018 through the present, measured the "surprise" difference for each, and then correlated that to short-term changes in USD/JPY at the time of release using 5 second candles.
I omitted any releases that occurred simultaneously as another major release. For example, occasionally the monthly Initial Jobless Claims comes out at the exact same time as the monthly Balance of Trade figure, which is a more significant economic indicator and can be expected to dwarf the effect of the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report.
USD/JPY correlation with Initial Jobless Claims (2018 - present)
USD/JPY correlation with Non Farm Payrolls (2018 - present)
The horizontal axes on these charts is the duration (in seconds) after the news release over which correlation was calculated. The vertical axis is the Pearson correlation coefficient: +1 means that the change in USD/JPY over that duration was perfectly linearly correlated to the "surprise" in the releases; -1 means that the change in USD/JPY was perfectly linearly correlated but in the opposite direction, and 0 means that there is no correlation at all.
For Initial Jobless Claims you can see that for the first 30 seconds USD/JPY is strongly negatively correlated with the difference between consensus and actual jobless claims. That is, fewer-than-forecast jobless claims (fewer newly unemployed people than expected) strengthens the dollar and greater-than-forecast jobless claims (more newly unemployed people than expected) weakens the dollar. Correlation then trails off and changes to a moderate/weak positive correlation. I interpret this as algorithms "buying the dip" and vice versa, but I don't know for sure. From this chart it appears that you could profit by opening a trade for 15 seconds (duration with strongest correlation) that is long USD/JPY when Initial Jobless Claims is lower than the consensus and short USD/JPY when Initial Jobless Claims is higher than expected.
The chart for Non Farm Payroll looks very different. Correlation is positive (higher-than-expected payrolls strengthen the dollar and lower-than-expected payrolls weaken the dollar) and peaks at around 45 seconds, then slowly decreases as time goes on. This implies that price changes due to NFP are quite significant relative to background noise and "stick" even as normal fluctuations pick back up.
I wanted to show an example of what the USD/JPY S5 chart looks like when an "uncontested" (no other major simultaneously news release) Initial Jobless Claims and NFP drops, but unfortunately my broker's charts only go back a week. (I can pull historical data going back years through the API but to make it into a pretty chart would be a bit of work.) If anybody can get a 5-second chart of USD/JPY at March 19, 2020, UTC 12:30 and/or at February 7, 2020, UTC 13:30 let me know and I'll add it here.

Backtesting

So without too much effort we determined that (1) USD/JPY is strongly negatively correlated with the Initial Jobless Claims figure for the first 15 seconds after the release of the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report (when no other major news is being released) and also that (2) USD/JPY is strongly positively correlated with the Non Farms Payroll figure for the first 45 seconds after the release of the Employment Situation report.
Before you can assume you can profit off the news you have to backtest and consider three important parameters.
Entry speed: How quickly can you realistically enter the trade? The correlation performed above was measured from the exact moment the news was released, but realistically if you've got your finger on the trigger and your ear to the squawk it will take a few seconds to hit "Buy" or "Sell" and confirm. If 90% of the price move happens in the first second you're SOL. For back-testing purposes I assume a 5 second delay. In practice I use custom software that opens a trade with one click, and I can reliably enter a trade within 2-3 seconds after the news drops, using the FinancialJuice free squawk.
Minimum surprise: Should you trade every release or can you do better by only trading those with a big enough "surprise" factor? Backtesting will tell you whether being more selective is better long-term or not.
Hold time: The optimal time to hold the trade is not necessarily the same as the time of maximum correlation. That's a good starting point but it's not necessarily the best number. Backtesting each possible hold time will let you find the best one.
The spread: When you're only holding a position open for 30 seconds, the spread will kill you. The correlations performed above used the midpoint price, but in reality you have to buy at the ask and sell at the bid. Brokers aren't stupid and the moment volume on the ECN jumps they will widen the spread for their retail customers. The only way to determine if the news-driven price movements reliably overcome the spread is to backtest.
Stops: Personally I don't use stops, neither take-profit nor stop-loss, since I'm automatically closing the trade after a fixed (and very short) amount of time. Additionally, brokers have a minimum stop distance; the profits from scalping the news are so slim that even the nearest stops they allow will generally not get triggered.
I backtested trading these two news releases (since 2018), using a 5 second entry delay, real historical spreads, and no stops, cycling through different "surprise" thresholds and hold times to find the combination that returns the highest net profit. It's important to maximize net profit, not expected value per trade, so you don't over-optimize and reduce the total number of trades taken to one single profitable trade. If you want to get fancy you can set up a custom metric that combines number of trades, expected value, and drawdown into a single score to be maximized.
For the Initial Jobless Claims figure I found that the best combination is to hold trades open for 25 seconds (that is, open at 5 seconds elapsed and hold until 30 seconds elapsed) and only trade when the difference between consensus and actual is 7k or higher. That leads to 30 trades taken since 2018 and an expected return of... drumroll please... -0.0093 yen per unit per trade.
Yep, that's a loss of approx. $8.63 per lot.
Disappointing right? That's the spread and that's why you have to backtest. Even though the release of the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report has a strong correlation with movement in USD/JPY, it's simply not something that a retail trader can profit from.
Let's turn to the NFP. There I found that the best combination is to hold trades open for 75 seconds (that is, open at 5 seconds elapsed and hold until 80 seconds elapsed) and trade every single NFP (no minimum "surprise" threshold). That leads to 20 trades taken since 2018 and an expected return of... drumroll please... +0.1306 yen per unit per trade.
That's a profit of approx. $121.25 per lot. Not bad for 75 seconds of work! That's a +6% ROI at 50x leverage.

Make it real

If you want to do this for realsies, you need to run these numbers for all of the major economic news releases. Markit Manufacturing PMI, Factory Orders MoM, Trade Balance, PPI MoM, Export and Import Prices, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Retail Sales MoM, Industrial Production MoM, you get the idea. You keep a list of all of the releases you want to trade, when they are released, and the ideal hold time and "surprise" threshold. A few minutes before the prescribed release time you open up your broker's software, turn on your squawk, maybe jot a few notes about consensuses and model forecasts, and get your finger on the button. At the moment you hear the release you open the trade in the correct direction, hold it (without looking at the chart!) for the required amount of time, then close it and go on with your day.
Some benefits of trading this way: * Most major economic releases come out at either 8:30 AM ET or 10:00 AM ET, and then you're done for the day. * It's easily backtestable. You can look back at the numbers and see exactly what to expect your return to be. * It's fun! Packing your trading into 30 seconds and knowing that institutions are moving billions of dollars around as fast as they can based on the exact same news you just read is thrilling. * You can wow your friends by saying things like "The St. Louis Fed had some interesting remarks on consumer spending in the latest Beige Book." * No crayons involved.
Some downsides: * It's tricky to be fast enough without writing custom software. Some broker software is very slow and requires multiple dialog boxes before a position is opened, which won't cut it. * The profits are very slim, you're not going to impress your instagram followers to join your expensive trade copying service with your 30-second twice-weekly trades. * Any friends you might wow with your boring-ass economic talking points are themselves the most boring people in the world.
I hope you enjoyed this long as fuck post and you give trading economic news a try!
submitted by thicc_dads_club to Forex [link] [comments]

How to get started in Forex - A comprehensive guide for newbies

Almost every day people come to this subreddit asking the same basic questions over and over again. I've put this guide together to point you in the right direction and help you get started on your forex journey.

A quick background on me before you ask: My name is Bob, I'm based out of western Canada. I started my forex journey back in January 2018 and am still learning. However I am trading live, not on demo accounts. I also code my own EA's. I not certified, licensed, insured, or even remotely qualified as a professional in the finance industry. Nothing I say constitutes financial advice. Take what I'm saying with a grain of salt, but everything I've outlined below is a synopsis of some tough lessons I've learned over the last year of being in this business.

LET'S GET SOME UNPLEASANTNESS OUT OF THE WAY

I'm going to call you stupid. I'm also going to call you dumb. I'm going to call you many other things. I do this because odds are, you are stupid, foolish,and just asking to have your money taken away. Welcome to the 95% of retail traders. Perhaps uneducated or uninformed are better phrases, but I've never been a big proponent of being politically correct.

Want to get out of the 95% and join the 5% of us who actually make money doing this? Put your grown up pants on, buck up, and don't give me any of this pc "This is hurting my feelings so I'm not going to listen to you" bullshit that the world has been moving towards.

Let's rip the bandage off quickly on this point - the world does not give a fuck about you. At one point maybe it did, it was this amazing vision nicknamed the American Dream. It died an agonizing, horrible death at the hand of capitalists and entrepreneurs. The world today revolves around money. Your money, my money, everybody's money. People want to take your money to add it to theirs. They don't give a fuck if it forces you out on the street and your family has to live in cardboard box. The world just stopped caring in general. It sucks, but it's the way the world works now. Welcome to the new world order. It's called Capitalism.

And here comes the next hard truth that you will need to accept - Forex is a cruel bitch of a mistress. She will hurt you. She will torment you. She will give you nightmares. She will keep you awake at night. And then she will tease you with a glimmer of hope to lure you into a false sense of security before she then guts you like a fish and shows you what your insides look like. This statement applies to all trading markets - they are cruel, ruthless, and not for the weak minded.

The sooner you accept these truths, the sooner you will become profitable. Don't accept it? That's fine. Don't bother reading any further. If I've offended you I don't give a fuck. You can run back home and hide under your bed. The world doesn't care and neither do I.

For what it's worth - I am not normally an major condescending asshole like the above paragraphs would suggest. In fact, if you look through my posts on this subreddit you will see I am actually quite helpful most of the time to many people who come here. But I need you to really understand that Forex is not for most people. It will make you cry. And if the markets themselves don't do it, the people in the markets will.

LESSON 1 - LEARN THE BASICS

Save yourself and everybody here a bunch of time - learn the basics of forex. You can learn the basics for free - BabyPips has one of the best free courses online which explains what exactly forex is, how it works, different strategies and methods of how to approach trading, and many other amazing topics.

You can access the BabyPips course by clicking this link: https://www.babypips.com/learn/forex

Do EVERY course in the School of Pipsology. It's free, it's comprehensive, and it will save you from a lot of trouble. It also has the added benefit of preventing you from looking foolish and uneducated when you come here asking for help if you already know this stuff.

If you still have questions about how forex works, please see the FREE RESOURCES links on the /Forex FAQ which can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/wiki/index

Quiz Time
Answer these questions truthfully to yourself:

-What is the difference between a market order, a stop order, and a limit order?
-How do you draw a support/resistance line? (Demonstrate it to yourself)
-What is the difference between MACD, RSI, and Stochastic indicators?
-What is fundamental analysis and how does it differ from technical analysis and price action trading?
-True or False: It's better to have a broker who gives you 500:1 margin instead of 50:1 margin. Be able to justify your reasoning.

If you don't know to answer to any of these questions, then you aren't ready to move on. Go back to the School of Pipsology linked above and do it all again.

If you can answer these questions without having to refer to any kind of reference then congratulations, you are ready to move past being a forex newbie and are ready to dive into the wonderful world of currency trading! Move onto Lesson 2 below.

LESSON 2 - RANDOM STRANGERS ARE NOT GOING TO HELP YOU GET RICH IN FOREX

This may come as a bit of a shock to you, but that random stranger on instagram who is posting about how he is killing it on forex is not trying to insprire you to greatness. He's also not trying to help you. He's also not trying to teach you how to attain financial freedom.

99.99999% of people posting about wanting to help you become rich in forex are LYING TO YOU.

Why would such nice, polite people do such a thing? Because THEY ARE TRYING TO PROFIT FROM YOUR STUPIDITY.

Plain and simple. Here's just a few ways these "experts" and "gurus" profit from you:


These are just a few examples. The reality is that very few people make it big in forex or any kind of trading. If somebody is trying to sell you the dream, they are essentially a magician - making you look the other way while they snatch your wallet and clean you out.

Additionally, on the topic of fund managers - legitimate fund managers will be certified, licensed, and insured. Ask them for proof of those 3 things. What they typically look like are:

If you are talking to a fund manager and they are insisting they have all of these, get a copy of their verification documents and lookup their licenses on the directories of the issuers to verify they are valid. If they are, then at least you are talking to somebody who seems to have their shit together and is doing investment management and trading as a professional and you are at least partially protected when the shit hits the fan.


LESSON 3 - UNDERSTAND YOUR RISK

Many people jump into Forex, drop $2000 into a broker account and start trading 1 lot orders because they signed up with a broker thinking they will get rich because they were given 500:1 margin and can risk it all on each trade. Worst-case scenario you lose your account, best case scenario you become a millionaire very quickly. Seems like a pretty good gamble right? You are dead wrong.

As a new trader, you should never risk more than 1% of your account balance on a trade. If you have some experience and are confident and doing well, then it's perfectly natural to risk 2-3% of your account per trade. Anybody who risks more than 4-5% of their account on a single trade deserves to blow their account. At that point you aren't trading, you are gambling. Don't pretend you are a trader when really you are just putting everything on red and hoping the roulette ball lands in the right spot. It's stupid and reckless and going to screw you very quickly.

Let's do some math here:

You put $2,000 into your trading account.
Risking 1% means you are willing to lose $20 per trade. That means you are going to be trading micro lots, or 0.01 lots most likely ($0.10/pip). At that level you can have a trade stop loss at -200 pips and only lose $20. It's the best starting point for anybody. Additionally, if you SL 20 trades in a row you are only down $200 (or 10% of your account) which isn't that difficult to recover from.
Risking 3% means you are willing to lose $60 per trade. You could do mini lots at this point, which is 0.1 lots (or $1/pip). Let's say you SL on 20 trades in a row. You've just lost $1,200 or 60% of your account. Even veteran traders will go through periods of repeat SL'ing, you are not a special snowflake and are not immune to periods of major drawdown.
Risking 5% means you are willing to lose $100 per trade. SL 20 trades in a row, your account is blown. As Red Foreman would call it - Good job dumbass.

Never risk more than 1% of your account on any trade until you can show that you are either consistently breaking even or making a profit. By consistently, I mean 200 trades minimum. You do 200 trades over a period of time and either break-even or make a profit, then you should be alright to increase your risk.

Unfortunately, this is where many retail traders get greedy and blow it. They will do 10 trades and hit their profit target on 9 of them. They will start seeing huge piles of money in their future and get greedy. They will start taking more risk on their trades than their account can handle.

200 trades of break-even or profitable performance risking 1% per trade. Don't even think about increasing your risk tolerance until you do it. When you get to this point, increase you risk to 2%. Do 1,000 trades at this level and show break-even or profit. If you blow your account, go back down to 1% until you can figure out what the hell you did differently or wrong, fix your strategy, and try again.

Once you clear 1,000 trades at 2%, it's really up to you if you want to increase your risk. I don't recommend it. Even 2% is bordering on gambling to be honest.


LESSON 4 - THE 500 PIP DRAWDOWN RULE

This is a rule I created for myself and it's a great way to help protect your account from blowing.

Sometimes the market goes insane. Like really insane. Insane to the point that your broker can't keep up and they can't hold your orders to the SL and TP levels you specified. They will try, but during a flash crash like we had at the start of January 2019 the rules can sometimes go flying out the window on account of the trading servers being unable to keep up with all the shit that's hitting the fan.

Because of this I live by a rule I call the 500 Pip Drawdown Rule and it's really quite simple - Have enough funds in your account to cover a 500 pip drawdown on your largest open trade. I don't care if you set a SL of -50 pips. During a flash crash that shit sometimes just breaks.

So let's use an example - you open a 0.1 lot short order on USDCAD and set the SL to 50 pips (so you'd only lose $50 if you hit stoploss). An hour later Trump makes some absurd announcement which causes a massive fundamental event on the market. A flash crash happens and over the course of the next few minutes USDCAD spikes up 500 pips, your broker is struggling to keep shit under control and your order slips through the cracks. By the time your broker is able to clear the backlog of orders and activity, your order closes out at 500 pips in the red. You just lost $500 when you intended initially to only risk $50.

It gets kinda scary if you are dealing with whole lot orders. A single order with a 500 pip drawdown is $5,000 gone in an instant. That will decimate many trader accounts.

Remember my statements above about Forex being a cruel bitch of a mistress? I wasn't kidding.

Granted - the above scenario is very rare to actually happen. But glitches to happen from time to time. Broker servers go offline. Weird shit happens which sets off a fundamental shift. Lots of stuff can break your account very quickly if you aren't using proper risk management.


LESSON 5 - UNDERSTAND DIFFERENT TRADING METHODOLOGIES

Generally speaking, there are 3 trading methodologies that traders employ. It's important to figure out what method you intend to use before asking for help. Each has their pros and cons, and you can combine them in a somewhat hybrid methodology but that introduces challenges as well.

In a nutshell:

Now you may be thinking that you want to be a a price action trader - you should still learn the principles and concepts behind TA and FA. Same if you are planning to be a technical trader - you should learn about price action and fundamental analysis. More knowledge is better, always.

With regards to technical analysis, you need to really understand what the different indicators are tell you. It's very easy to misinterpret what an indicator is telling you, which causes you to make a bad trade and lose money. It's also important to understand that every indicator can be tuned to your personal preferences.

You might find, for example, that using Bollinger Bands with the normal 20 period SMA close, 2 standard deviation is not effective for how you look at the chart, but changing that to say a 20 period EMA average price, 1 standard deviation bollinger band indicator could give you significantly more insight.


LESSON 6 - TIMEFRAMES MATTER

Understanding the differences in which timeframes you trade on will make or break your chosen strategy. Some strategies work really well on Daily timeframes (i.e. Ichimoku) but they fall flat on their face if you use them on 1H timeframes, for example.

There is no right or wrong answer on what timeframe is best to trade on. Generally speaking however, there are 2 things to consider:


If you are a total newbie to forex, I suggest you don't trade on anything shorter than the 1H timeframe when you are first learning. Trading on higher timeframes tends to be much more forgiving and profitable per trade. Scalping is a delicate art and requires finesse and can be very challenging when you are first starting out.


LESSON 7 - AUTOBOTS...ROLL OUT!

Yeah...I'm a geek and grew up with the Transformers franchise decades before Michael Bay came along. Deal with it.

Forex bots are called EA's (Expert Advisors). They can be wonderous and devastating at the same time. /Forex is not really the best place to get help with them. That is what /algotrading is useful for. However some of us that lurk on /Forex code EA's and will try to assist when we can.

Anybody can learn to code an EA. But just like how 95% of retail traders fail, I would estimate the same is true for forex bots. Either the strategy doesn't work, the code is buggy, or many other reasons can cause EA's to fail. Because EA's can often times run up hundreds of orders in a very quick period of time, it's critical that you test them repeatedly before letting them lose on a live trading account so they don't blow your account to pieces. You have been warned.

If you want to learn how to code an EA, I suggest you start with MQL. It's a programming language which can be directly interpretted by Meta Trader. The Meta Trader terminal client even gives you a built in IDE for coding EA's in MQL. The downside is it can be buggy and glitchy and caused many frustrating hours of work to figure out what is wrong.

If you don't want to learn MQL, you can code an EA up in just about any programming language. Python is really popular for forex bots for some reason. But that doesn't mean you couldn't do it in something like C++ or Java or hell even something more unusual like JQuery if you really wanted.

I'm not going to get into the finer details of how to code EA's, there are some amazing guides out there. Just be careful with them. They can be your best friend and at the same time also your worst enemy when it comes to forex.

One final note on EA's - don't buy them. Ever. Let me put this into perspective - I create an EA which is literally producing money for me automatically 24/5. If it really is a good EA which is profitable, there is no way in hell I'm selling it. I'm keeping it to myself to make a fortune off of. EA's that are for sale will not work, will blow your account, and the developer who coded it will tell you that's too darn bad but no refunds. Don't ever buy an EA from anybody.

LESSON 8 - BRING ON THE HATERS

You are going to find that this subreddit is frequented by trolls. Some of them will get really nasty. Some of them will threaten you. Some of them will just make you miserable. It's the price you pay for admission to the /Forex club.

If you can't handle it, then I suggest you don't post here. Find a more newbie-friendly site. It sucks, but it's reality.

We often refer to trolls on this subreddit as shitcunts. That's your word of the day. Learn it, love it. Shitcunts.


YOU MADE IT, WELCOME TO FOREX!

If you've made it through all of the above and aren't cringing or getting scared, then welcome aboard the forex train! You will fit in nicely here. Ask your questions and the non-shitcunts of our little corner of reddit will try to help you.

Assuming this post doesn't get nuked and I don't get banned for it, I'll add more lessons to this post over time. Lessons I intend to add in the future:
If there is something else you feel should be included please drop a comment and I'll add it to the above list of pending topics.

Cheers,

Bob



submitted by wafflestation to Forex [link] [comments]

The intelligent investors guide to cryptocurrency: Part 3b - Pricing and liquidity

*Introductions: I'm joskye. A cryptocurrency investor and SDC holder. *
...
Hi again. This is the third part in our ongoing series on how to trade better and determine intelligent investments in cryptocurrency for the future.
Part 3b continues where I left off with a discussion about price metrics specifically, what determines the price and the importance of liquidity:
...
The day traders:
As I mentioned in my previous article, as of writing almost every cryptocurrency is determined purely by speculative value.
Thus the absolute price of a given cryptocurrency is determined solely by the day traders and specifically the last price it was agreed that currency would be sold at with confirmation of that price by a buyer who bought it.
People say lots of things determine the price; marketcap, liquidity, value proposition, revenues generated by the coin, the number of said coin in circulation but ultimately it comes down to the number of buyers and number of sellers competing for that coin.
Perhaps the other thing is the size of said market relative to the money held by the players in it.
For instance in cryptocurrency Bitcoin is still the biggest player in the game. It carries a per unit price of $900 per coin. There are currently 16,090,137 (16 million) coins in circulation giving it a total marketcap value of [$900 x 16090137 =] $14481123300 or 14.48 billion USD.
Shadowcash looks even more meagre compared to the total cryptocurrency marketcap with only 0.048% of the total cryptocurrency sphere.
To any Shadowcash holders despairing at this point, relax. There are over 707 cryptocurrencies trading as of writing and SDC holds the 27th ranking in terms of market cap. In such a competitive field, filled with scams that's pretty good. Moreso when you consider that SDC is a legitimate technology and is currently probably very undervalued.
...
Lets look at the rich list for bitcoin:
Why did I just talk about this?
In cryptocurrency I see this happening on the markets all the time. Indeed market manipulation effects every single cryptocurrency eventually.
...
Market manipulation!
Large holders of valuable, high marketcap coins will often make multiple small volume purchases of less valuable, low marketcap coins. Often this will follow announcements regarding developments in that low marketcap coin.
Low volume buying in a market with low daily trading volume can gradually drive up the price attracting an influx of buyers into that coin; often they will make larger volume purchases of it which helps drive up the price much further. This will trigger a further chain of buyers experiencing FOMO (fear of missing out, detailed in Part 2) who will drive up the price even further. The price will pump. Often will smaller cap cryptocurrencies this may result in a sudden 20, 40, 60 or even +100% increase in value often over a very short time space (1-2 days, 1-2 weeks maximum).
The only way to discern if the sudden rise in coin value is due to pre-rigged market manipulation is to look at:
You are looking for organic, gradual growth based on a solid value proposition. Sudden large spikes in value should make you pause and wonder if it's worth waiting for a gradual correction (organic drop) in price before entering your buy order.
Do not fall for a pump and dump. Stick to the lessons covered in previous parts of this guide (especially part 3a and 2) and you will be much less likely to lose money in the long run trading and investing in cryptocurrencies.
...
The pattern of change on daily trading volume, the order book and liquidity:
Lets look at SDC and Bitcoin again. This time we are going to compare the daily trading volume (last 24 hours) in USD.
I'd just like to use this opportunity to point out and reinforce the idea that day traders not holders dictate the daily price of an asset. I'd also like to point out daily global trading volume on Forex is $4800 billion which makes Bitcoin a very small fish in the broader arena of global finance and trade i.e. Bitcoin is still very vulnerable to all the price manipulation tactics and liquidity issues I am going to be describing in this article by bigger players with richer pockets.
The daily trading volume also gives you an idea of how much fiat currency you can invest into a given cryptocurrency before you suddenly shift the price.
A sudden rise in coin price heavily out of proportion to the rise in daily trading volume should be the first sign to alert you to a pump & dump scam.
Daily trading volume should show a steady increase over time with sustained buy support at new price levels; this is a good marker of organic, sustainable growth.
...
For more detail you can now look at the depth chart:
The depth chart is very useful to know how much fiat currency is required to cause the spot price of a given cryptocurrency to rise or fall by a given amount.
NB the price of most cryptocurrencies is expressed in Bitcoin because it has the largest market cap and daily trading volume of all cryptocurrencies by a very large margin and because with a few exceptions (Ethereum, Monero) most cryptocurrencies do not have routes to directly purchase via fiat currency without first purchasing Bitcoin.
Liquidity is super important. People often complain about a market lacking liquidity but that is often because they are trading in fiat volumes which far exceed the daily trading fiat volumes of the cryptocurrency they are referring to. If you are investing or trading in a cryptocurrency, always factor in the your personal liquidity and need for liquidity relative to that of the cryptocurrency you are investing in. In other words don't expect to make a profit next day selling 'cryptocurrency x' if the size your single buy order composes >90% of the buy orders on the market for 'cryptocurrency x' that day (indeed in such a scenario be very prepared to sell at a loss next day if you absolutely have to)!
There are certain patterns on a depth chart that make me believe a significant, sustained price rise is imminent: One example occurs when there is a very large volume of buy orders (>25% of total buy volume within 5% of current price) very close to the current (spot) price, and a very large number of sell orders close to but significantly above the spot price (approx 25% total sell volume within 10% of current price) and especially if the total buy order volume is a significantly higher percentage than it has previously been. This simply indicates high demand at current price which may soon outstrip supply. Again I stress that these patterns can be manipulated easily by wealthy traders.
...
The order book is another way of looking at the depth chart and allows you to see the specific transactions occurring that compose daily trading volume by the second!
I find it useful because it allows me to identify:
...
The price charts:
Discussions about price charts could be endless. I'm not going to go into too much detail, mostly because I'm an investor who believes the value proposition, good consistent development, decent marketing and communications will ultimately trump spot prices and adverse (or positive) short term price trends in the future.
...
The news cycle:
...
Other interesting points: The 'coin x' scenario and the ridiculousness of marketcap:
'Coin X' is an imaginary hypothetical coin. There are only 10 in circulation. It has no value proposition beyond it's speculative value i.e. it will never generate a revenue independent of it's speculative value.
I'd like to point out the similarities between ZCash and 'coin x' (especially during it's launch).
...
Lessons:
...
Finally why am I writing this?
I mean I just spoke openly about how SDC and indeed any cryptocurrencies (or purely speculative assets) price can be manipulated in the short term.
Well SDC has an incredible value proposition that could generate and attract large amounts of non-speculative fiat currency into it's ecosystem. I already covered that in part 3a (https://www.reddit.com/Shadowcash/comments/5lhh6m/the_intelligent_investors_guide_to_cryptocurrency/).
For this reason I think the short term speculative pump and dumps in SDC will eventually be replaced by a more sustained, larger buy support. I suspect this will occur when the marketplace is released and certain other announcements are released.
For this reason I declare my opinion that Shadowcash is the best cryptocurrency investment of 2016 and I believe it will be again by March 2017.
...
References:
1. Coinmarketcap rankings: https://coinmarketcap.com/all/views/all/ 2. Coinmarketcap daily trading volumes https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/volume/24-hou 3. Bitinfocharts - Top 100 Richest Bitcoin addresses: https://bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html 4. Crypto ID - Shadowcash Rich list: https://chainz.cryptoid.info/sdc/#!rich 
...
Disclaimer: All prices and values given are as of time of writing (Midday 08-Jan-2016). I am not responsible for your financial decisions, nor am I advising you take a particular financial position. Rather I am sharing my experiences and hoping you form your own opinions and insights from them. Full disclosure: I have long positions in Ethereum (ETH), Shadowcash (SDC), ICONOMI (ICN), Augur (REP) and Digix (DGD).
submitted by joskye to Shadowcash [link] [comments]

The intelligent investors guide to cryptocurrency: Part 3b - Pricing and liquidity

*Introductions: I'm joskye. A cryptocurrency investor and holder. *
...
 
Hi again. This is the third part in our ongoing series on how to trade better and determine intelligent investments in cryptocurrency for the future.
 
 
Part 3b continues where I left off with a discussion about price metrics specifically, what determines the price and the importance of liquidity:
...
 
The day traders:
 
As I mentioned in my previous article, as of writing almost every cryptocurrency is determined purely by speculative value.
 
 
For instance in cryptocurrency Bitcoin is still the biggest player in the game. It carries a per unit price of $900 per coin. There are currently 16,090,137 (16 million) coins in circulation giving it a total marketcap value of [$900 x 16090137 =] $14481123300 or 14.48 billion USD.
 
 
Shadowcash looks even more meagre compared to the total cryptocurrency marketcap with only 0.048% of the total cryptocurrency sphere.
To any Shadowcash holders despairing at this point, relax. There are over 707 cryptocurrencies trading as of writing and SDC holds the 27th ranking in terms of market cap. In such a competitive field, filled with scams that's pretty good. Moreso when you consider that SDC is a legitimate technology and is currently probably very undervalued.
...
 
Lets look at the rich list for bitcoin:
 
Why did I just talk about this?
 
In cryptocurrency I see this happening on the markets all the time. Indeed market manipulation effects every single cryptocurrency eventually.
...
 
Market manipulation!
 
Large holders of valuable, high marketcap coins will often make multiple small volume purchases of less valuable, low marketcap coins. Often this will follow announcements regarding developments in that low marketcap coin.
 
 
Low volume buying in a market with low daily trading volume can gradually drive up the price attracting an influx of buyers into that coin; often they will make larger volume purchases of it which helps drive up the price much further. This will trigger a further chain of buyers experiencing FOMO (fear of missing out, detailed in Part 2) who will drive up the price even further. The price will pump. Often will smaller cap cryptocurrencies this may result in a sudden 20, 40, 60 or even +100% increase in value often over a very short time space (1-2 days, 1-2 weeks maximum).
 
 
The only way to discern if the sudden rise in coin value is due to pre-rigged market manipulation is to look at:
 
You are looking for organic, gradual growth based on a solid value proposition. Sudden large spikes in value should make you pause and wonder if it's worth waiting for a gradual correction (organic drop) in price before entering your buy order.
 
Do not fall for a pump and dump. Stick to the lessons covered in previous parts of this guide (especially part 3a and 2) and you will be much less likely to lose money in the long run trading and investing in cryptocurrencies.
...
 
The pattern of change on daily trading volume, the order book and liquidity:
 
Lets look at SDC and Bitcoin again. This time we are going to compare the daily trading volume (last 24 hours) in USD.
 
 
I'd just like to use this opportunity to point out and reinforce the idea that day traders not holders dictate the daily price of an asset. I'd also like to point out daily global trading volume on Forex is $4800 billion which makes Bitcoin a very small fish in the broader arena of global finance and trade i.e. Bitcoin is still very vulnerable to all the price manipulation tactics and liquidity issues I am going to be describing in this article by bigger players with richer pockets.
 
 
The daily trading volume also gives you an idea of how much fiat currency you can invest into a given cryptocurrency before you suddenly shift the price.
 
 
A sudden rise in coin price heavily out of proportion to the rise in daily trading volume should be the first sign to alert you to a pump & dump scam.
 
Daily trading volume should show a steady increase over time with sustained buy support at new price levels; this is a good marker of organic, sustainable growth.
...
 
For more detail you can now look at the depth chart:
 
The depth chart is very useful to know how much fiat currency is required to cause the spot price of a given cryptocurrency to rise or fall by a given amount.
 
NB the price of most cryptocurrencies is expressed in Bitcoin because it has the largest market cap and daily trading volume of all cryptocurrencies by a very large margin and because with a few exceptions (Ethereum, Monero) most cryptocurrencies do not have routes to directly purchase via fiat currency without first purchasing Bitcoin.
 
Liquidity is super important. People often complain about a market lacking liquidity but that is often because they are trading in fiat volumes which far exceed the daily trading fiat volumes of the cryptocurrency they are referring to. If you are investing or trading in a cryptocurrency, always factor in the your personal liquidity and need for liquidity relative to that of the cryptocurrency you are investing in. In other words don't expect to make a profit next day selling 'cryptocurrency x' if the size your single buy order composes >90% of the buy orders on the market for 'cryptocurrency x' that day (indeed in such a scenario be very prepared to sell at a loss next day if you absolutely have to)!
 
 
There are certain patterns on a depth chart that make me believe a significant, sustained price rise is imminent: One example occurs when there is a very large volume of buy orders (>25% of total buy volume within 5% of current price) very close to the current (spot) price, and a very large number of sell orders close to but significantly above the spot price (approx 25% total sell volume within 10% of current price) and especially if the total buy order volume is a significantly higher percentage than it has previously been. This simply indicates high demand at current price which may soon outstrip supply. Again I stress that these patterns can be manipulated easily by wealthy traders.
 
...
 
The order book is another way of looking at the depth chart and allows you to see the specific transactions occurring that compose daily trading volume by the second!
 
I find it useful because it allows me to identify:
 
...
 
The price charts:
 
Discussions about price charts could be endless. I'm not going to go into too much detail, mostly because I'm an investor who believes the value proposition, good consistent development, decent marketing and communications will ultimately trump spot prices and adverse (or positive) short term price trends in the future.
...
 
The news cycle:
 
...
 
Other interesting points: The 'coin x' scenario and the ridiculousness of marketcap:
 
'Coin X' is an imaginary hypothetical coin. There are only 10 in circulation. It has no value proposition beyond it's speculative value i.e. it will never generate a revenue independent of it's speculative value.
 
 
I'd like to point out the similarities between ZCash and 'coin x' (especially during it's launch).
...
 
Lessons:
 
 
...
 
References:
1. Coinmarketcap rankings: https://coinmarketcap.com/all/views/all/ 2. Coinmarketcap daily trading volumes https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/volume/24-hou 3. Bitinfocharts - Top 100 Richest Bitcoin addresses: https://bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html 4. Crypto ID - Shadowcash Rich list: https://chainz.cryptoid.info/sdc/#!rich 
 
...
 
Further articles in this series:
 
"The intelligent investors guide to cryptocurrency"
 
Part 0 -
Part 1 -
Part 2 -
Part 3a -
Part 3b -
Part 4 -
Part 5 -
Part 6 -
Part 7a -
 
"The intelligent investors guide to Particl -"
 
 
Full disclosure/Disclaimer: At time of original writing I had long positions in Ethereum (ETH), Shadowcash (SDC), Iconomi (ICN), Augur (REP) and Digix (DGD). All the opinions expressed are my own. I cannot guarantee gains; losses are sustainable; do your own financial research and make your decisions responsibly. All prices and values given are as of time of first writing (Midday 8th-Jan-2017).
 
Second disclaimer: Please do not buy Shadowcash (SDC), the project has been abandoned by it's developers who have moved on to the Particl Project (PART). The PARTICL crowd fund and SDC 1:1 token swap completed April 15th. You can still exchange SDC for PART but only if it was acquired prior to 15th April 2017 see: https://particl.news/a-community-driven-initiative-e26724100c3a for more information.
 
Addendum: Article updated 23-11-2017 to edit references to SDC (changed to Particl where relevant to reflect updated status) and clean up formatting.
submitted by joskye to Particl [link] [comments]

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The Most Profitable Forex Trading Strategy Forex ...

http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com If you want to learn how to make money trading Forex fundamentals in terms of doing the best analysis and learning ... You were told from the start you needed Forex Fundamental Analysis to trade profitably. You were lied to. Here is why. Blog for this Video - http://nononsens... 🚨🚨Trading Performance 🚨🚨 Improve Your Trading Performance at our Fundamental Trading Academy https://www.toptradersfx.com/academy (Our Academy is 1v1 ... JOIN US IN THE SYNDICATE FOR $1 – NO BRAINER! https://t2t.isrefer.com/go/syndtrialcart/JGLondon/ Also you can get Live Room Access for FREE here: http://www.... Best forex books for beginners and experienced traders who are looking for books for trading. If you want to increase your profits, these are some of the bes... Check this detailed video about Top Books on Fundamental analysis, especially for beginner level traders. This is a tutorial video as part of the education o... Fundamental Analysis by Rowena Harris-Doughty of LCG http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/spreadbetting/LCG-compare.html Fundamental Analysis is a way at ...

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